The national debt and gold now come up in the same retirement conversations, and the head of the government’s own budget office has described the worry in public. In March, Phillip Swagel, director of the Congressional Budget Office, told a Senate Finance subcommittee that a debt crisis “would manifest as sharply higher interest rates, a weaker dollar, lower investment, lower consumer spending, fewer jobs.” On August 18, 2026 the debt passed $40 trillion. Swagel was careful about the timing, though, and told the senators “I can’t tell you when that will happen or what the catalyst will be.”
Why people are buying gold now
Through most of the 2010s borrowing was cheap, and the interest bill barely moved as the debt grew. Then the Fed raised rates in 2022, and as old Treasury debt came due it was replaced at the higher rates. By the Treasury’s Monthly Treasury Statement, net interest cost $970 billion in fiscal 2025, against $917 billion for national defense, and 2024 was the first year in the government’s tables back to 1940 that interest came out ahead. Our companion piece on interest and military spending has the year-by-year record.
Former Fed Chair Jerome Powell was careful in January: “The U.S. federal budget deficit is uncontroversially on an unsustainable path. The level of debt is not unsustainable… but the path is unsustainable.” Under current law, CBO projects net interest at about $2.1 trillion a year by 2036, and it says interest above 3.2% of GDP in every projected year would be the highest level since at least 1940.
A government in that position can grow faster than its debt, raise taxes, cut spending, or stop paying some lenders. Britain took a quieter route after the Second World War, when the interest rate on its debt was below inflation in 24 of 30 years, according to the UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility, so the people holding its bonds were repaid in money that bought less. Central banks bought more than 1,000 tonnes of gold in each of 2022, 2023 and 2024, by the World Gold Council’s count. Gold pays no interest, but it is not a loan to anybody, so nobody can repay it in cheaper dollars.
What a gold IRA is
A gold IRA is an ordinary individual retirement account that holds physical metal, under the same IRA rules for money going in and coming out. The tax code normally treats coins and metal as collectibles, and under 26 U.S. Code 408(m) an IRA that buys one is treated as having paid that money out to you. Since 1997, when Public Law 105-34 rewrote section 408(m)(3), there has been an exception for certain US-minted gold coins, such as the American Gold Eagle, and for bullion at least as pure as a regulated futures contract requires. For gold that is 99.5%, the 995 fineness in the CME Group’s COMEX gold contract, and the metal has to be in the physical possession of a trustee.
The IRS approves custodians, not dealers and not coins. IRS Publication 590-A says the trustee or custodian of an IRA “must be a bank, a federally insured credit union, a savings and loan association, or an entity approved by the IRS to act as trustee or custodian.” Every gold IRA has three jobs in it. The custodian runs the account and files the tax paperwork, the depository is the vault where the metal sits, and the dealer sells the metal to the account at a markup. They can be three different companies, and it is worth knowing which is which before you sign anything.
How to move a 401(k) into a gold IRA
New money goes in as cash, because Publication 590-A says “Property can’t be contributed,” and the custodian then buys the metal inside the account. For 2026 the IRA contribution limit is $7,500, or $8,600 at 50 and over, under IRS Notice 2025-67. Larger sums usually come from an old 401(k) or IRA, and the IRS lists three ways to move them.
| Method | How the money moves | What to watch |
|---|---|---|
| Direct rollover | Your plan pays the new IRA custodian | The plan may not allow it while you still work there |
| Trustee-to-trustee transfer | One IRA custodian pays another | Not a rollover, so the once-a-year limit does not apply |
| 60-day rollover | The money is paid to you and you redeposit it | Miss 60 days and it is a taxable distribution |
A direct rollover or a trustee-to-trustee transfer keeps the same tax treatment, with nothing withheld and no 10% early-withdrawal tax, because the money never passes through your hands. The 60-day route is where people get hurt. A 401(k) that pays you directly has to withhold 20% even if you plan to roll every dollar over, so on a $100,000 account you would need to find $20,000 from other savings within the 60 days, or the part you did not replace is taxed. Between IRAs you get one 60-day rollover in any 12 months, counting all your IRAs together, and Publication 590-A says the IRS can’t waive that limit. Whether your plan lets you move money while you still work there is a question for the plan, not for a gold dealer. Our 401(k) to gold IRA walk-through covers the paperwork.
Where gold IRA gold is stored
The metal sits in a depository, either pooled with other customers’ metal of the same kind, called commingled storage, or kept apart, called segregated storage. Some people would rather keep it at home, and the US Tax Court decided that question in November 2021, in the McNulty case. An IRA owner had her IRA buy American Eagle coins through a company the IRA owned, then had the coins shipped to her house and kept them in a safe. The Tax Court ruled that taking possession of the coins was a taxable distribution equal to what they cost, and it upheld penalties on top. It questioned whether the safe met the rules but did not need to decide that, because taking the coins home settled it.
Taking metal out later works the same way. A distribution from a traditional IRA, in cash or in coins, is taxed as income in the year you take it, with a 10% additional tax before 59½ unless an exception applies, according to Publication 590-B. Required minimum distributions start at 73 for most people now and 75 for younger savers, under 26 U.S. Code 401(a)(9).
What a gold IRA costs
The fee schedule usually lists a setup fee, a yearly administration fee, a storage fee, wire and transaction fees and a closing fee. In our own research into twelve custodians those were mostly flat dollar amounts, and a flat fee weighs more on a small account. A $300 yearly fee, for example, is 0.12% of $250,000 and 1.2% of $25,000.
The dealer’s markup appears on no fee schedule. It is the gap between what you pay and the spot price, and on a $50,000 purchase each percentage point of it is $500. The CFTC’s advisory on physical metals says some fraudulent dealers have charged spreads of more than 300 percent while other dealers may charge less than 20 percent, and it tells buyers to get every fee, commission and the agreed price in writing before signing. A dealer also buys back below its selling price, so a second gap opens on the way out. Our gold IRA fees page breaks down each charge.
The red flags regulators warn about
The CFTC warns that customers are often steered toward numismatic coins, whose price carries a collector premium on top of the gold. Dealers later buy those coins back “at a fraction of the original sales price,” and the CFTC also warns that dealers who call themselves IRA experts “are typically salespeople who are paid commissions,” with no duty to put your interests first. In one case the CFTC and FINRA describe, a customer rolled over a $300,000 IRA and a dealer allegedly took $150,000 in fees and commissions.
The SEC, the state securities regulators and FINRA put the custodian problem in one line in a joint alert: “Using a legitimate custodian to buy an investment DOES NOT make that investment legitimate.” A custodian holds the account and does not judge whether the price was fair. The CFTC adds that a financed metals deal, where a company lends you most of the price, can break federal commodities law unless the company delivers the metal within 28 days. Three questions cover most of it, what the markup over spot is, what the dealer would pay if you sold it back tomorrow, and who holds the metal.
Is a gold IRA worth it
Our view is that with the government paying more in interest than it spends on its military, and borrowing to cover it, part of a retirement belongs in something that is not paid in dollars, and for us that is gold. Inside an IRA it only makes sense done the plain way, with common bullion or government-minted coins, a markup you have asked about in writing, and a custodian you chose yourself.
You do not need to know when the debt turns into a crisis to make that call, and the head of the budget office told the Senate he cannot say either. How much belongs outside the dollar depends on your balance and how close you are to drawing on it.
Every step in the video is laid out as a checklist, with the rules and the questions to ask before you move a dollar.
Read the gold IRA guideChapters
- 00:00 The $40 trillion question
- 01:17 Why people are buying gold now
- 03:33 What is a gold IRA?
- 05:18 How to move a 401(k) into a gold IRA
- 07:20 Where gold IRA gold is stored
- 08:25 What a gold IRA costs
- 09:49 The red flags regulators warn about
- 11:37 Gold IRA questions, answered
- 13:02 Is a gold IRA worth it?
Where every number came from
Every link below was checked on 29 September 2026, and each goes to the document the rule or figure was read from.
- Swagel’s testimony is from the Senate Finance subcommittee hearing The Fiscal Outlook, 2027 to 2036, March 11, 2026.
- The $40 trillion crossing is from Treasury, Debt to the Penny, record date August 18, 2026, and interest against defense is from the Monthly Treasury Statement, Table 9.
- Powell is quoted from the Federal Reserve’s press conference transcript of January 28, 2026.
- The projections and the 1940 comparison are from CBO, The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036.
- Britain’s postwar record is from the UK Office for Budget Responsibility, post-World War II debt reduction, and central bank buying is from the World Gold Council, Gold Demand Trends, full year 2025.
- The coin and bullion rules are in 26 U.S. Code 408(m), as amended by Public Law 105-34, section 304, and the 995 fineness is in the CME Group COMEX gold contract specifications.
- Custodians, cash contributions, rollovers, transfers and withholding are from IRS Publication 590-A and the IRS page on rollovers of retirement plan and IRA distributions, and the 2026 limits are from IRS Notice 2025-67.
- Distributions are from IRS Publication 590-B, and the required minimum distribution ages are in 26 U.S. Code 401(a)(9).
- The McNulty opinion, Tax Court docket 1377-19, filed November 18, 2021, is on the US Tax Court docket system.
- The numismatic steering, the IRA-expert warning and financed deals are from the CFTC advisory Beware of Gold and Silver Schemes Designed to Drain Your Retirement Savings, and the $150,000 case, the spread figures, the in-writing advice and custody are from the CFTC and FINRA bulletin 10 Things to Ask Before Buying Physical Gold, Silver, or Other Metals.
- The custodian line is from the SEC, NASAA and FINRA Investor Alert on self-directed IRAs and the risk of fraud.
- The fee categories and the flat-fee example are Gold IRA Digest research, published on our fees page.
This page is general education, not investment, tax or legal advice. Gold IRA Digest does not sell gold.